Market Insights
Monthly Commentaries
It’s Inflation, Stupid
Sep 11, 2026
“It’s the economy, stupid.”James Carville (Bill Clinton’s 1992 Presidential Campaign)
Read More…See All CommentariesNotes from the Desk
FOMC Announcement – One and Not Done
Sep 16, 2026
In a unanimous decision, the Fed hiked 25 bps, raising the Fed Funds Rate to 3.75%-4.00%. The move was expected, with the market odds at 92%. The only question was whether the hike would be...
Read MoreBank of Canada Rate Decision – Between Scylla and Charybdis
Sep 2, 2026
Confronted with a hazard on each side of the strait, a trade war on one flank and energy-driven inflation on the other, the Bank held at 2.25% and steered visibly closer to the one it fears less...
Read MoreCanada-US Trade – The Empire Tariffs Back
Aug 24, 2026
Trade talks between Ottawa and Washington collapsed Friday night, and by Saturday tariffs were again flying in both directions. Same trade war, another sequel, and this morning Trump added a new...
Read MoreFOMC Announcement – Family Feud
Jul 29, 2026
Kevin Warsh said he wanted a good family fight at his second meeting as chairman, and three colleagues obliged. The Fed held rates at 3.50%-3.75%, but the vote was not unanimous, with three...
Read MoreUS Payrolls – Giving Back
Jul 2, 2026
Job creation was weak in June, although the unemployment rate managed to improve. The numbers. 57k jobs created (115k expected) May revised down to 129k, a hefty cut from the initial 172k print...
Read MoreFOMC Announcement – There Is a Taskforce for That
Jun 17, 2026
Kevin Warsh’s first meeting as Fed Chair was less of a rate decision and more of a philosophical manifesto. The policy rate was left unchanged, but the institution itself is being rebuilt from the...
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