FOMC Rate Decision – A Hawkish 50

The FOMC kicked off the easing cycle with a 50 bps reduction in the ‘Fed Funds’ rate. Although several cuts are clearly coming, the FOMC did not express a sense of urgency.   The interesting bits:   With one dissenter and 9 out of 19 members seeing a total...

North American Employment Data – 50/50 on 50

Today’s payroll data confirms that job growth is slowing, opening the door for further central bank accommodation.   The numbers:   US   142k jobs created (165k expected). Unemployment rate: 4.2% (4.3% expected). YoY wage growth: 3.8% (3.7% expected)....

Bank of Canada (BoC) – Auto Pilot Engaged

Today’s announcement provided little excitement, as the BoC did the expected and lowered the overnight rate by 25 bps to 4.25%   The interesting bits:   The Bank pointed out that broad inflationary pressures continue to ease, although shelter and some...

Canadian July Employment Data – Meh!

Notes From the Desk – Canadian July Employment Data – Meh!   Today’s employment data will do little to calm fears over the state of the labour market.   The Numbers:   Instead of creating an expected 20k jobs, the economy lost 2.8k positions. The mix...

FOMC Meeting – Laying The Groundwork

Notes From the Desk – FOMC Meeting – Laying The Groundwork   As expected, the FOMC held both rates and the pace of balance sheet reduction steady but left little doubt that September is a ‘live’ meeting where the first rate cut could be delivered....