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Notes from the Desk | FOMC Meeting – Release the Hounds Dec 13 2023

Dec 13, 2023 | Notes from the Desk

Notes From the Desk – FOMC Meeting – Release the Hounds   As expected, the FOMC kept the policy rate unchanged at 5.25-5.5%.  The far more interesting items were buried in their press release and conference.   The dot-plot thickens.   No...

Notes from the Desk | US Payrolls – A Dent In The Narrative Dec 08 2023

Dec 8, 2023 | Notes from the Desk

Notes From the Desk – US Payrolls – A Dent In The Narrative   Over the last several weeks, we have seen bond yields plummeting lower on expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) would start cutting rates in early spring.  Today’s employment data has...

Notes from the Desk | Bank of Canada Rate Announcement – A Tentative Step Closer Dec 06 2023

Dec 6, 2023 | Notes from the Desk

Notes From the Desk – Bank of Canada Rate Announcement – A Tentative Step Closer   To no one’s surprise, the Bank of Canada held the policy rate steady at 5%, while continuing the process of reducing their balance sheet (Quantitative Tightening). Most...

Notes from the Desk | US CPI – Encouraging News Nov 14 2023

Nov 14, 2023 | Notes from the Desk

Notes from the Desk – US CPI – Encouraging News The US October CPI report saw both headline and core inflation softer than expected. By the numbers. YoY CPI 3.2% (3.3% expected) YoY Core inflation 4% (4.1% expected)   Implications. The downside...

Notes from the Desk | North American Employment – Help Wanted? Nov 03 2023

Nov 7, 2023 | Notes from the Desk

Notes From The Desk: North American Employment – Help Wanted?   October saw a cooling in both temperatures and the North American labour market. By the numbers. Canada.   17.5k jobs added (v. expected 25k), with the gains coming from part-time...

Notes from the Desk | Bank of Canada – The Unchanged & The Changed Oct 25 2023

Oct 30, 2023 | Notes from the Desk

Notes From The Desk: Bank of Canada – The Unchanged & The Changed   The Bank of Canada (BoC) held rates steady this morning while continuing the process of quantitative tightening. While this was expected, there were some noteworthy changes to their...
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