T’is The Season | November 2024

“We make a living by what we get, but we make a life by what we give.” Winston Churchill In the spirit of the holiday season, we interrupt your regularly scheduled programming to highlight an important cause and the focus of our 2024 charitable giving. This year, we...

Employment Data – The Plot Thickens

Today’s employment data confirms that economic conditions between Canada and the US continue to diverge. The numbers. US 227k jobs created (220k expected). Unemployment rate: 4.2% (4.1% expected). YoY earnings growth: 4% (3.9% expected).   Canada 5k jobs created...

Canadian GDP – Sl’oh Canada

This morning, all eyes were on GDP to hint at what the Bank of Canada (BoC) will do at their December 11th meeting. The numbers. Q3 GDP: 1.0% (vs. 1.1% expected). September MoM GDP: 0.1% (vs. 0.3%). October Advanced Estimate: 0.1%. GDP YoY: 1.6%, as expected.  ...

CAD October CPI – Neither Here Nor There

Inflation rose slightly in October, with headline CPI at 2%.  But this probably does very little to influence the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) decision in December. The numbers. YoY CPI: 2% (1.9% expected) YoY CPI Median: 2.5% (2.3% expected) YoY CPI Trim: 2.6% (2.4%...

Trump v The Bond Market | October 2024

“I used to think if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the President or the pope or a .400 baseball hitter. But now I want to come back as the bond market.  You can intimidate everybody.” James Carville The result was expected to be close, delayed, and...