A warning shot is fired across the bow. *

Bank of Canada Rate Announcement

The Bank of Canada (BoC) lowered the policy rate by 25 bps to 3%, now firmly inside the 2.25%-3.25% neutral rate band.  The Bank also dropped forward rate guidance, adopting a neutral posture for maximum flexibility in the coming months. The useless stuff: Given the...

The New Year Edition | December 2024

“Every new beginning comes from some other beginning’s end.” Seneca With the start of the new year comes the annual tradition of making predictions and prognostications for the year ahead.  One only needs to look back at the forecasts from previous years to realize...

T’is The Season | November 2024

“We make a living by what we get, but we make a life by what we give.” Winston Churchill In the spirit of the holiday season, we interrupt your regularly scheduled programming to highlight an important cause and the focus of our 2024 charitable giving. This year, we...

Employment Data – The Plot Thickens

Today’s employment data confirms that economic conditions between Canada and the US continue to diverge. The numbers. US 227k jobs created (220k expected). Unemployment rate: 4.2% (4.1% expected). YoY earnings growth: 4% (3.9% expected).   Canada 5k jobs created...

Canadian GDP – Sl’oh Canada

This morning, all eyes were on GDP to hint at what the Bank of Canada (BoC) will do at their December 11th meeting. The numbers. Q3 GDP: 1.0% (vs. 1.1% expected). September MoM GDP: 0.1% (vs. 0.3%). October Advanced Estimate: 0.1%. GDP YoY: 1.6%, as expected.  ...