‘Tis The Season | November 2023

“We make a living by what we get, but we make a life by what we give.” Winston Churchill In the spirit of the holiday season, we decided to forego the usual musings that we begin our commentaries with, to highlight a cause that is near and dear to us. Over the past...

That Time Was Different | October 2023

“The four most dangerous words in investing are: ‘this time it’s different’.” Sir John Templeton It is an exciting time to be a bond nerd.  After a few of the most volatile years we have ever seen, it now appears that we are in the midst of a paradigm shift in...

Waiting For Godot | September 2023

“If I had known who Godot is, I would have written it in the script.” Samuel Beckett Samuel Beckett’s famous ‘tragicomedy in two acts’ is often described as a play in which nothing happens, twice.  The two protagonists, Vladimir and Estragon (Didi and Gogo), spend the...

Rates: How High Is High? | August 2023

“How long is a piece of string?” Earlier this year, in a commentary littered with bad ‘star’ puns, we wrote about the concept of r*, or the neutral rate.  This is the level for the overnight rate which neither stimulates nor restricts the economy and leads to stable...

Breaking Up Is Hard To Do | July 2023

“Sometimes good things fall apart so better things can fall together.” Marilyn Monroe One of the biggest regrets investors have is overstaying their welcome and holding on to a position for too long.  They either miss the opportunity to take profits before things take...