Bank of Canada (BoC) – Auto Pilot Engaged

Today’s announcement provided little excitement, as the BoC did the expected and lowered the overnight rate by 25 bps to 4.25%   The interesting bits:   The Bank pointed out that broad inflationary pressures continue to ease, although shelter and some...

Deep Breath| July 2024

“Take a deep breath in, and let it go.” Every Meditation Teacher Ever For the past couple of years, we have warned investors to be prepared for wild bouts of volatility.  With the economy at an inflection point and central bankers engaged in a delicate balancing act,...

Anchors Aweigh | June 2024

“60 percent of the time, it works every time.” Brian Fantana in Anchorman Of the many cognitive biases, the ‘anchoring effect’ is often cited as one of the most important and common.  It is our tendency to overemphasize a reference point or initial piece of...

The First Cut Is The Deepest | May 2024

“Let’s enjoy the moment.” Tiff Macklem Last week, the Bank of Canada (BoC) became the first of the G7 central banks to cut rates, lowering the overnight level from 5% to 4.75%.  The decision was widely anticipated (i.e., 80%) and one we think was relatively easy for...

The Fed Announcement – Give & Take

Notes From The Desk: The Fed Announcement – Give & Take.   As expected, the Federal Reserve (Fed) left rates unchanged, but they did adjust their projections on the timing of cuts, pushing them further into the future. The dot-plot thickens.  ...