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Notes from The Desk | CAD CPI – It’s All About The Base April 18 2023

Apr 18, 2023 | Notes from the Desk

Notes From The Desk: CAD CPI – It’s All About The Base   Inflation continued to decelerate in March, meeting consensus expectations.   Annual CPI fell from 5.2% to 4.3% as lower energy prices more than offset higher mortgage costs and food...

Notes from The Desk | Bank of Canada Decision – Patience Young Grasshopper April 12 2023

Apr 12, 2023 | Notes from the Desk

Notes From the Desk – Bank of Canada Decision – Patience Young Grasshopper   As expected, the Bank of Canada (BoC) held rates steady at 4.5%.  They also updated their economic forecasts:   Inflation is expected to fall to 3% this summer and to 2%...

Notes from The Desk | US CPI – Faint Progress April 12 2023

Apr 12, 2023 | Notes from the Desk

Notes From the Desk – US CPI – Faint Progress US March inflation points to a slight moderation in price pressures.   YoY headline CPI 5% vs 5.1% expected. YoY core CPI 5.6% vs 5.6% expected.   Consumers are getting some relief on food and energy...

Notes from The Desk | FOMC Meeting – The Dot Plot Thickens Mar 22 2023

Mar 23, 2023 | Notes from the Desk

Notes from The Desk – FOMC Meeting – The Dot Plot Thickens The Federal Reserve (Fed) raised the overnight rate by 25bps on Wednesday afternoon, bringing the range to 4.75-5%.  The Fed also softened the language about future rate hikes indicating that they will...

Notes from the Desk | North American Labour Markets Remain Strong Mar 10 2023

Mar 14, 2023 | Notes from the Desk

Notes from the Desk – North American Labour Markets Remain Strong. Once again, more people than expected found work on both sides of the border. Canada: • Employment increased by 21.8k vs 10k expected. The mix was strong with 31.1k full-time jobs created and...

Notes from the Desk | SVB Impact on Rate Markets Mar 13 2023

Mar 14, 2023 | Notes from the Desk

Notes from the Desk: SVB Impact on Rate Markets It’s been a wild Monday morning, with US and CAD 2y rates dropping 0.50%. Since Thursday we have seen the US 2y decline ~1% and the CAD 2y fall ~0.75%. What’s Going On? The fear of the SVB failure is that of...
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